The outbreak of COVID-19 has led to extreme measures throughout the
world. The World Health Organization (WHO) has qualified this spread as a
pandemic that is accelerating, thus having individuals stay home and
non-essential businesses close is a mandatory process.
The world economy has begun to
slow down. Undeniably, the economy will enter a recession due to the demand and
supply side-shock, but there are many opportunities as well. Reopening the
economy and returning to businesses is something that still does not have an
official answer.
For instance, if a country
returns to normal and abandon social distancing practices, there may be some
major impact at a financial and mainly social level. Many employees will not be
able to work, because they will fear to stay out of their safe home. Also,
business partners will change their patterns, thus many of them will go to
urgent bankruptcy, and other will expand their market share.
Additionally, the healthcare system of the world is already overwhelmed, so it is not possible to let the virus spread become the death of many patients, just because of wages. Social distancing practice slows down the economy, but it also saves lives and helps doctors and nurses in hospitals working to capacity.
The death toll is rising. Even
officials in Sweden which is a country with relaxed measures, such as banning
social gatherings of more than 50 people and initiating online classes at
universities and high schools, they say that people must rethink, and be prepared
for staying home. Generally, the Swedish approach relies more on calibrated
precautions and isolating only the most vulnerable than on imposing a full
lockdown.
However, Sweden (10 million
population) has already 7,347 confirmed cases and 506 deaths, while other
countries with the same population present different critical numbers. Greece
(10.5 million) has 1,755 confirmed cases and 79 deaths, Portugal (10.2 million)
has 11,730 confirmed cases and 311 deaths, Hungary (9.7 million) has 817
confirmed cases and 47 deaths, and Czech Republic (10.7 million) has 4,828
confirmed cases and 80 deaths.
We have to consider how fast a
government respond to the pandemic conditions, where Greece was among the
fastest states in the world, what measures are implemented, and whether people
adhere to official statements, such as practice good hygiene, keep distance,
avoid large gatherings, work from home, avoid all non-essential travel, avoid
busy times, and stay at home. These advices are required by the Swedish
government as well.
To sum up, do not underestimate
the coronavirus. As we saw in practice, less physical interaction slows the
rate of new infections. This is not a test; this is not a non-essential
practice. Doctors want to have a routine as well, so they do not say us to stay
home just for nothing. This unprecedented economic depression changes our
current situation, but we must be healthy to make our economy strong again.
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