As the pace of change accelerates globally, and as risk interconnections
deepen, there are four (4) key areas that the recent report "The Global
Risks Report 2018" by the World Economic Forum analyzed: a) environmental
degradation, b) cybersecurity breaches, c) economic strains, and d)
geopolitical tensions.
We can see that the economic
factors are far from the front line of the top ten risks in terms of likelihood
and impact. In the twenty factors mentioned in the above two categories, there
are only two economic risks, and two technological risks, which we could link
to the economic factors, in terms of data fraud and cyberattacks.
However, there are totally five key elements of environmental risks, and a total of four key points of societal risks in terms of likelihood and impact. If we exclude the geopolitical factors, our environmental and societal future is on risk and we have to make our choices sooner or later.
Extreme weather events, natural
disasters, failure of climate-change mitigation and adaptation, man-made
environmental disasters, biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse, are very
important environmental concerns about our future. At the same time, water
crises, food crises, spread of infectious diseases, and large-scale involuntary
migration will have a major impact on our lives.
During the last decade and
since the start of the global financial crises of 2008, the economic risks are
gradually decreasing their appearance in the top ten index, especially after
2015. This is maybe a sign for the end of the major phases of the financial crises,
but it means the start of a social crises, as people need to overcome the
effects of the first one.
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